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Experts project California voter turnout dropped in the 2024 General Election

Voters work on their ballots at a polling place at the Michelle and Barack Obama Sports Complex on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Los Angeles.
Chris Pizzello
/
AP Photo
Voters work on their ballots at a polling place at the Michelle and Barack Obama Sports Complex on Election Day, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Los Angeles.

Fewer Californians turned out to vote in the 2024 General Election than in 2020, despite increasing numbers of eligible and registered voters.

California is still counting its votes 鈥 but based on early results, it鈥檚 possible that voter turnout dropped somewhere between 6 and 11% since 2020. Nationwide, that figure is currently about 3%. The just over 16 million total ballots were cast this year.

Eric McGhee, a policy director with the non-partisan Public Policy Institute of California, wrote about it for the . He said it鈥檚 not clear just yet why fewer Californians or Americans turned out 鈥 but usually, excitement plays a big role.

鈥淚t would not be surprising if people just weren't that jazzed about the choices that they were offered,鈥 he said.

2020 saw , even in California, which isn鈥檛 competitive in the presidential race.

McGhee said that might鈥檝e been situational as people were still under pandemic restrictions.

鈥淰oters just didn't have a lot of normal distractions,鈥 he said.

Or, it could be that the candidates and propositions just didn鈥檛 excite them.

鈥淭his election didn't seem to engage voters in the same way as the one four years ago,鈥 McGhee said.

This could be the largest drop in turnout in the state in 50 years. Even with that decline, it was still higher than turnout in past decades.

One thing did change since the last presidential election: The state now automatically registers more eligible voters. But McGhee says that doesn鈥檛 explain the decline, and we might not know what actually did for a while.

鈥淪ome of the data that we would need to be able to make those kinds of assessments just aren't available yet,鈥 he said.

California results will be certified in early December.

Copyright 2024 CapRadio

Megan Myscofski is a statehouse/politics reporter at CapRadio, a JPR news partner. Previously, she covered public health at KUNM in New Mexico and Economics at Arizona Public Media in Tucson.
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